Kenyan Pundit

Folks this is a historic election by Kenyan standards, regional standards and international standards – I don’t think there is a precedent for the number of incumbents that are going down despite having massive resources behind them and attempts to bribe voters. And I challenge you to find an election in the Western world in recent times where people have come out with such determination, conviction, and a strong sense of civic duty .

I’m very very proud of Kenyan voters and you all should be no matter who you are supporting.

The media has focused on the presidential race and on the tribal nature of the campaign, but the story of the revolution (as I keep repeating, but really it’s worth emphasizing) is at the local level – Kenyans have realized the power of the vote and will no longer be taken for a ride. I think this election will be a watermark as far the maturity of voters and the impact it will have on the next Parliament (now we need to get rid of pensions for one-term MPs), Kenyans want results and CHANGE and not empty talk, and if ODM wins they will have an incredibly difficult time at managing expectations.

I’m so excited (plus I’m loving the fact that the comments left on Mzalendo over the past year are reflecting in the results…we’re on to something)!

On to the latest results:

– Kajiado North – counting suspended due to electoral misconducted, some ballot boxes not sealed properly and others found empty. Sakuda was losing last night, but Saitoti suddenly started picking up this am.

– Garsen – counting also suspended due to chaos after a helicopter landed at the counting station with 12 unaccompanied ballot boxes. The crowd destroyed the 12 boxes and started going after the boxes that had already been counted, they had to be dispersed with tear gas.

– Kibwezi – Kalembe out

– Budalangi – Ababu Namambwa in

– All Moi sons out. Raymond lost to Luka Kigen.

– Mt Elgon – Kapondi out

– Kulundu out

– Kabete – Muite out, Nguyai in

– Nyakach – Pollins Onyango in

– North Imenti – Mwiraria out

– Sotik – Lorna Labasi in (women doing well in Rift Valley)

– Kipiriri – Kimunya in

– Ntimama in

– Cherangany – Kirwa out

– Belgut – Charles Ketel in

Wah! The people have spoken.

Other results from TV stations:

– National elections: Raila 64.5%, Kibaki 33.%, Kalonzo 1.7%
Western – Raila 68%, Kibaki 31%; Nyanza Raila 90%, Rift Valley Raila 83%, 16% Kibaki; Eatern – Kibaki 61%, Raila 22%, Central Kibaki 98%, Raila 2%; Nairobi Kibaki 49% Raila 42%

– Eldoret South – Peris Chepchumba wins (first female winner to be announced)

– Mathira – Ephraim Maina over Gachagua

– Emgwen – Elijah Lagat

– Kombo officially out to Sambu in Webuye

– Eldama Ravine – Lesonet over Moi

– Rongo – Dalmas Oteino over Ayacko

– Mogotio – Helen Jepekboi

– North Eastern province results trickling in, Raila in the lead

Other observations Nyanza definitely an ODM wave despite unhappiness with the nominations process, end of Ford People as the dominant party in Kisii – ODM losing out due to flawed nominations, Central – wide open unlike Nyanza no 3 piece voting, Safina surprisingly strong.

ECK Briefing was really a waste of time. Provisional results were announced for only 3 constituencies and one of them didn’t even include the MP results. People are starting to get anxious now because they should have tallies from a lot more constituencies and should have been able to have a more substantive briefing this morning. Poor showing from them this morning. They are blaming the high turnout and the need for accuracy.

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Thanks for all the supportive comments.

Been waiting for some decent MP results for most of the night, because I think they will be far more interesting than the Presidential results and of course because of Mzalendo. Here’s what I have so far again via NTV. Lots of surprises – Kisii, Western and Central very interesting. Again keep in mind these are very preliminary.

– Westlands – very tight between Tett 43% and Gumo 41%, Mueke is sitting at 16%.

– Langata – Raila 60%, Livondo 40%

– Mvita – Balala 63%, Taib 29%

– Matuga – Mwakere 39%, Mwanyoha 31%

– Mwatata – Mwatela 51%, Madoka 33%

– Saku – Waqo is leading.

– Nithi – Mbiuki is leading

– Siakago – Lenny Kivuti

– Tetu – Francis Nyammu by far

– Kieni – Warugongo by far

– Mukurueni – Kagwe 63%, Kabando 36% (was supposed to be a tight one)

– Nyeri Town – Mathenge in the lead

– Mwea – Peter Njunguna in the lead

– Gichugu – Karua 57%, Jackson Gutu 40%

– Kiharu – Ngenye Kariuki over Kembi Gituara

– Juja – Thuo 50%, Kabogo 23%

– Kiambaa – Githunguri – 79%, Karume 21%

– Keiyo North – Chepiktony in the lead

– Keiyo South – Kiptoon 68% over Biwott 30%

– Eldama Ravine – Lessonet leading over Jonathan Moi

– Laikipia East – Letai over Kiunjuri

– Narok South – Lankas over Ntutu

– Kajiado – Sakuda over Saitoti by big margin

– Boment – Kones over Salat

– Malava – Soita Shitanda leading

– Butere – Oparanya leading.

– Kimilili – Murungu leading, Kituyi third

– Sirisia – John Koyi over Wetangula (close race)

– Butula – Alfred Bwire leading

– Funyula – Nyongesa over Moody (very close though)

– Alego – Edwin Yinda leading

-Gem – Midiwo leading

– Rarieda – Gumbo 80%, Tuju 20%

– Kisumu Rural – Anyang Nyong’o 96%

– Rangwe – Martin Ogindo leading

– Kuria – Shadrack Manga over Machage

– South Mugirango – Ayiema over Magara

– Bobasi – Obure over Manoti

– Nyaribari Chache – Monda over Nyachae

– Kisauni – Joho over Mwaboza

– Kitutu Chache – Angwenyi over Onyonka

These results are from Nation TV and only 2% of the vote has been counted so far.

National: Raila 55%, Kibaki 42%, Kalonzo 3%
Eastern: Kibaki 58%, Musyoka 36%, Raila 6%
Central: Kibaki 98%, Raila 1%
Coast: Raila 60%, Kalonzo 36%, Musyoka 4%
Nairobi: Raila 47%, Kibaki 43%, Musyoka 10%
Rift Valley: Raila 72%, Kibaki 26%
Nyanza: Raila 86%, Kibaki
Western: Raila 74%, Kibaki 25%
North Eastern: No results – quite strange given the fact that results are being smsd from polling stations

KTN has a strange way of tallying the results (percentage of registered voters) so I’m not using them. Citizen TV is just now finally reflecting a Raila lead though very close – 91,000 vs 86,000. KBC is just strange.

No sense of voter turnout so far, it’s going to be a long night.
International media is focusing on the violence that happened today but from the ground, it’s been much lower than expected given how high tensions were.

Also Tett and Gumo arguing over vote counting in Westlands, they’ve now asked for a recount.